Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble ...
... United States withdrew from the Soviet-US ABM Treaty in 2002. However, the system withstood the first blow largely owing to the then general positive dynamics of Russia-US political cooperation. Meanwhile, judging by everything, the collapse of the INF Treaty 17 years later may prove fatal to the system because it coincided with a highly acute political crisis in relations between Moscow and Washington.
Greg Thielmann:
Are We Approaching the End of the Arms Control Era?
The next link in the chain ...
... Luckily, even when the total warhead numbers were even higher, nuclear use had been avoided – although the threat remains real. Relations between Russia and NATO currently seem somewhat stabilized, although on a degraded level, but the crisis around the INF Treaty may easily become fuel for future conflicts.
Armed Forces of all nations in Europe have enough lethal tools to burn the continent to ashes, even without those currently covered by the INF Treaty. However, if the Treaty dies, the threat level ...
... global problem.
Fourth. The issue of including every nuclear state in the process of limiting and reducing nuclear weapons is becoming increasingly pressing.
Fifth. Let’s take a look at what has been done by the Russian Federation to preserve the INF Treaty. Since 2007 we have been making suggestions to make the Treaty multilateral (that’s exactly what the U.S. Administration is proposing now). We’ve been discussing our concerns over Washington’s compliance with the Treaty within the INF ...
... nuclear-powered torpedo, the ground-launched cruise missiles both sides threaten to build, which can carry either conventional or nuclear warheads, and the hypersonic weapons of various types, which are being developed by Russia, the U.S., and China.
End of the INF Treaty
One of the most important arms control developments in recent decades has been the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (or INF) Treaty, signed by U.S. President Ronald Reagan and Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev in 1987. This treaty banned ...
RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019
A report based on findings from the third round of the UK–Russia Track 1.5 (non-governmental) bilateral security dialogue, which
The Royal United Services Institute
(RUSI) held in collaboration with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).
The first year of the project identified several security and geopolitical topics to establish the most productive areas of cooperation between the UK and Russia. The second year built on three of the most fruitful areas...
... delegation of German security experts visiting Moscow at the invitation of Hanns Seidel Foundation (Hanns Seidel Stiftung).
The participants of the meeting discussed the issues of security and cooperation in Europe in the light of possible termination of the INF Treaty. The meeting was moderated byJan Dresel, Director of Seidel Foundation Moscow Office.
On March 27, 2019, Ian Hill, Ambassador of New Zealand to Russia, visited Russian International Affairs Council.
On March 27, 2019, Ian Hill, Ambassador of New Zealand to Russia, visited Russian International Affairs Council.
The discussion focused on the evolving military-political situation in the Asia-Pacific region in the context of increasing tensions in the U.S.-China relations, promoting the Indo-Pacific region concept by the U.S., and the difficulties in the work of many regional multilateral...
... States and Russia, and moreover, Washington may also find it difficult to negotiating an arms control treaty with other countries like China after deciding unilaterally to pull out of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, Ivanov said.
The INF Treaty could have been saved because it had mechanisms to address issues disputed among the involved parties of the accord, Ivanov added.
Source:
Sputnik International
Session "U.S.-Russian Strategic Relations: The Big Picture", Carnegie ...
... and Moldova, visited Russian International Affairs Council.
The following issues were discussed in the course of the meeting: the current situation and risks of escalation in Syria, European security issues in the context of the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty, the future of European security and the prospects for cooperation between RIAC and ICRC in 2019.
