... Huasheng, Andrey Kortunov:
Prepare for the Worst and Strive for the Best. Russia’s and China’s Perceptions of Developments in International Security
No doubt, national leaders find many compelling reasons for their decisions to raise the stakes in global ... ... of the world.
Given all these trends, it comes as no surprise to hear that the US leadership has often been skeptical about arms control. In 2002, under president George W. Bush, the US withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty that for 30 ...
... the unilateral US withdrawal of the INF (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces) Treaty. Paradoxically, the future of nuclear non-proliferation in Asia appeared
concerning
even almost a quarter of century ago during the
so-called
“golden age of nuclear arms control”.
Alexander Yermakov:
Don’t Trust and Don’t Verify. New Normality for New START
As for the spatial dimension, geographical conditions represent a constant in the field of international relations. In terms of the Asian-Pacific space,...
... two global powers: the parameters of the world order, U.S. sanctions policy, competition between Asian-Pacific integration models, the economic, trade and technological rivalry between the two nations, as well as matters concerning global security and arms control. This analysis also considers U.S.– Chinese confrontation in terms of its potential negative and positive implications for Russia.
U.S. Foreign Policy Towards China: Outlook and Implications for Russia
, 2.1 Mb
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
In October 2022, Joseph Biden’s administration published the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR-2022) as part of a single National Defense Strategy (NDS-2022) package along with the Missile Defense Review (MDR-2022). The previous Nuclear Posture Review appeared in February 2018 during Donald Trump’s presidency.
One of the key functions of any publicly available strategic document is to deliver information to other states – both friendly and hostile...
... to ignore it in all the contradictions listed above. The policy of containment by itself does not solve them, although no one is going to give up containment.
In addition, there are topics that are simply necessary to discuss. Principal among them is arms control. The New START extension can be considered as a step forward, but it only provides a five-year delay for the development of new agreements. This is a ridiculous timeframe, given the collapse of the INF Treaty and other disarmament regimes,...
... relations with Russia are difficult, the current status quo is viewed as sustainable and there are many other issues on the international security agenda for the UK to focus on beyond relations with Russia. At the same time, it was noted that if Russia ... ... outreaches to Russia by NATO members, the Allies do not feel they should be the
demandeurs
in terms of the reset with Russia or for arms control initiatives. A UK participant observed that recent efforts by Western European states to reach out to Russia, including ...
... universal system of strategic stability in the 21
st
century. This state of affairs will inevitably lead to a new round of the “Great Game” in which military security and other areas are under threat. Moreover, it will have a significant impact on international security and even the existing world order.
The arms control system will likely crumble, and we may very well see the beginnings of a new arms race. The INF Treaty was the cornerstone of the U.S.–Soviet arms control system. It allowed Russia and the United States to maintain institutional interaction ...
... Action (JCPOA) in July 2015. The agreement is quite rightly considered one of the most significant achievements in the field of international security this century; the JCPOA held its ground even when Donald Trump refused to comply with its provisions.
Fifteen ... ... the same kind of political will and imagination in the nuclear sphere that they demonstrated in 2003.
The future of nuclear arms control (if it has one) will in any case be multilateral in nature. And if the two superpowers have not coped with the mission ...
... Earth’s orbit.
In light of the above, the emergence of hypersonic weapons will introduce a number of destabilizing factors for international security. First, countries possessing such weapons will have an asymmetric advantage over other developing countries.... ... hypersonic weapons research are, in addition to Russia, the United States and China.
China
Andrey Kortunov:
Is There Life After Arms Control Death?
Despite its ambitious statements, China has not yet rolled out a reliable prototype of a hypersonic vehicle....
... Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously unlikely that the bare minimum of extending the agreement will be achieved. It is time we started preparing ourselves for the ...
