Russia can do quite a lot at the political level, but it cannot replace Europe as a potential driver of Iran’s economic and social development
On May 8, 2019, Iran sent a message to Germany, Britain, China and Russia that it was suspending the fulfilment of certain obligations under the “Iranian nuclear deal” – the Joint Comprehensive Plan of ...
An increased American pressure on Iran makes Tehran even more dependent on major US geopolitical adversaries — China and Russia
The Trump administration has decided to designate
Iran's Islamic Revolution’s Guard Corps (IRGC)
as a foreign terrorist organization. It is the first ...
... option” for Russia in Syria?
The situation around Russia in Syria is up for debate. No doubt, Russia would like to lead a reconstruction effort in Syria, in harmony with all relevant partners, including the UN, the EU, the USA, China, India, Turkey, Iran, Israel, the Sunni Arab states including the Golf Council Countries (GCC-states), Egypt and Morocco. However, many of the parties on the list of wished-for partners are strongly hostile to each other, and it might therefore perhaps not be possible ...
... Middle East Conference.
The idea of establishing a collective security system in the Middle East raises skepticism for many objective reasons. To begin with, there are many players in the region that claim a leading role, primarily, Saudi Arabia and Iran, cooperation between which is seriously complicated by religious divergence. The same applies to Egypt that was historically considered the leader in the Middle East but has now encountered fierce competition on the part of the countries that could ...
The aftermaths of the latest Astana Summit
The last meeting within the framework of the "Astana Triangle" revealed, yet again, significant differences between Russia and Iran on the one hand, and Turkey on the other. But unlike the September „no-deal” summit in Tehran, the discussion in Sochi was based specifically on the governing terms of a detailed Memorandum on Stabilisation of the Situation in Idlib. According ...
It is becoming increasingly more difficult for Moscow to retain its position as an honest, if not completely independent, broker
On February 14, the leaders of Russia, Turkey and Iran will meet in Sochi to discuss Syria and hold separate bilateral meetings. Recently, new developments have emerged that could prove dangerous if each state pursues its own hidden agenda. The three states depend on the Astana format for settling the ...
... Countermeasures”
In 2018, the French bank Societe Generale agreed to pay the US Treasury the highest fine, almost $54 million. The Treasury accused the French bank of conducting over a thousand transactions that violated the sanctions regime against Cuba, Iran and Sudan worth $5.5 billion during 2007-2012. The American regulator also established a number of aggravating circumstances including some of bank employees’ awareness of possible violations of the US sanctions, ignoring “alarm signals” (such ...
... states in the periphery of the Arab world. The first was Turkey — a highly controversial, but a very important partner in the Black Sea area and in the Northern and Southern Caucasus, in trade and investment, in energy and in tourism. The second was Iran — another difficult ally, which played an active role in many international matters very important to Moscow — from civil wars in Tajikistan and Afghanistan to the problem of the Caspian Sea partition. The third was Israel, with is large Russian ...
... adapt quickly to the new reality of the civil war. That contributed greatly to the erosion of the robustness, effectiveness and authority of the army.
In addition to that, Damascus also resorted to using foreign Shiite militia sponsored primarily by Iran: Lebanese Hezbollah, Iraqi Liwa al-Zulfikar and Abu Fadl al-Abbas, Iranian IGRC’s al-Quds and later Iranian army forces, Afghani Shiite Liwa Fatimiyoun and Pakistani Liwa Zeinabiyoun. As a result, it also created over-reliance on Iran and allowed ...
... possibility of a broad interpretation of any actions by Russian government and non-governmental agencies, the December report will most likely include the “Russian trace.” It might be diluted with other traditional evil-wishers like China, North Korea and Iran, but the main question is how exactly the sanctions will be calibrated to the scope of the alleged foreign interference identified. Freezing alleged hackers’ assets is one thing, but sectoral sanctions are something else.
Another Executive Order,...