Tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh are far from over, and that places Russia in a very uncomfortable situation: trying to maintain friendly relations with two strategic allies while getting them both to the negotiating table.
By Pavel Koshkin
...
Who did lighten up the powder keg, and why?
The armed hostilities between breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh and her former parent-state Azerbaijan between April 2–5, 2016, or the Four Day War, as it will soon be labeled in the professional discourse, have now ended with a truce, agreed upon in Moscow between the Chiefs of the General Staff of Armenia and Azerbaijan, Yuri Khachaturov ...
Despite the complexity of regional dynamics, Turkey and Azerbaijan have succeeded to intensely improve their relations throughout the last quarter of century. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, one of the regions Turkey discovered after a long period of time was the Caucasus, alongside the Central ...
... that has arisen between the two countries can have far-reaching consequences for the Caucasus region.
The situation is being aggravated by the ongoing escalation of tensions along the delimitation line in Nagorno-Karabakh. In early December 2015, the Azerbaijani side
began using tanks
, which it had never done since entering into a truce in May 1994), having previously used howitzers, mortars and multiple artillery rocket systems. Given the exacerbation of relations between Moscow and Ankara, the ...
... for International Peace. However, this version was rejected by all parties to the conflict. As a result, in late July-early August 2014, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict dramatically escalated, which, according to available
information
, was prompted by Azerbaijani actions.
The current situation in the conflict area
EPA / PETER KLAUNZER / Vostock Photo
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict peace talks, Bern,
Switzerland, 19 December 2015
The situation in the Nagorno-Karabakh area continues to deteriorate. An incomplete ...
... centre of former military, economic and political power, which is now embodied by the Russian Federation as the legal successor to the USSR. Of the 15 former republics of the Soviet Union, four have no diplomatic relations with one another (Armenia and Azerbaijan, Russia and Georgia). Unregulated border disputes are the bane of practically all Central Asian states. Russia and Ukraine have not broken diplomatic relations formally, but relations between the two countries are at their lowest ebb since ...
... situation has stabilized, but the bad taste still lingers, among other things, due to band-aid-like solutions designed to revive the positive imagine of Russia among Armenian society (e.g. the dynamics of military-technical cooperation between Russia and Azerbaijan and Moscow's role in maintaining the ceasefire regime in Nagorno-Karabakh).
REUTERS/Hrant Khachatryan
Sergei Markedonov:
Russia – Learning from Armenia
Electric Maydan per se was not a coordinated anti-Russian action, but spontaneously ...
... Interpretation of “the Caucasus Concert”
To date, problems in Transcaucasia are not a priority on the global agenda. However, the proximity of the region to the Middle East (three Transcaucasian republics border Turkey, while Armenia and Azerbaijan have common borders with Iran), to Central Asia (through the Caspian Sea), to the European Union (the Black Sea), and to Russia (the country’s territory includes the North Caucasus) has made the region into an intersection of different ...
... and 19 wounded). In the second quarter of this year, there were 44 casualties (38 killed and 6 wounded). Many leaders of the Islamist underground, such as Aliaskhab Kebekov, the ringleader of the terrorist Caucasus Emirate, were eliminated
[6]
. In Azerbaijan, religious radicals have been split (in the southern part, they look up to Iran and Shiite Islam, while in the northern part – to Dagestan and the Salafi movement)
[7]
. Commenting on threats to the Georgian national security, Defense Minister ...
... Nagorno-Karabakh settlement. Western diplomats and experts more often criticize Russia for “freezing” rather than seeking to solve this long-festering conflict
[4]
. We should bear in mind, however, that however passive Russia may be, neither Azerbaijan nor Armenia, which are directly involved in the ethno-political confrontation, have demonstrated any inclination to make compromises or concessions. Given this approach, “freezing” the conflict is not the worst of options, although ...