A vertical rather than horizontal escalation can be expected, involving other actors in the war
In the autumn of 2024, the situation in the Middle East sharply escalated. Sporadic exchanges between Hezbollah in Lebanon and Israel, which had been observed since the October 7, 2023, attacks, evolved into active hostilities. On September 17–18, 2024, pagers and other means of communication belonging to Hezbollah members were detonated inside Lebanon....
... previous years (28 people were killed there in 2020, 86 in 2021, and 146 in 2022), but it is clear now that the West Bank has not become a second Gaza today, nor is it likely to become one overnight.
Along the line of confrontation between the IDF and Hezbollah forces on the Israeli–Lebanese border, nothing extraordinary has occurred so far either, except for a rocket strike at a soccer field in the town of Majdal Shams in the Golan Heights on July 27, which killed 12 Druze teenagers. True, Hezbollah ...
... Jerusalem. At the same time, there is a very tense information background in Israel as it conducts two parallel military operations: in the south, in the Gaza Strip, and on the northern border with Lebanon, the scene of a military confrontation with Hezbollah. As for Ramallah, there are no major clashes there. Yet, the Israeli army conducts regular raids in the Palestinian territories after it receives information about the presence of radical elements supporting Hamas in some areas of the West Bank....
