... Still, it is important to understand that Belgrade seeks to keep its foreign policy organized around multiple vectors and considers itself a participant in multilateral UN- and EU-led peacekeeping operations, while maintaining relations with Russia, China, the Gulf nations and other Eastern partners.
The key dilemmas facing Serbia’s new government is whether to impose sanctions against Russia and the issue of negotiations with Pristina.
Russia is critically important for Serbia when it comes to Kosovo since Moscow, together with Beijing, is a chief ally in the UN Security Council. Belgrade is actively trying to influence intra-UN sentiment regarding the 1995 events in Srebrenica.
Under UNSC Resolution 1244, Serbia maintains leverage over the ...
... will not vote in favour of diplomatic recognition of any
de facto
states in Europe in the late 2000s, forcing it to reopen the debate on the recognition of Taiwan and the application of the Montevideo Convention.
As the CIA shows, relations between China and Taiwan will lead to a debate on the recognition of Kosovo, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and possibly Transnistria and Nagorno-Karabakh. Although apparently focusing on Taiwan-China relations, the report provides multiple references that link Taiwan and Chinese diplomacy to the Balkans and the Caucasus, as ...
... share Western interests (e.g. Tbilisi refused to recognize Kosovo).
Moscow should also be cautious when it comes to its bilateral relationship with Serbia. Belgrade is seeking support from Russia — and more recently from the People’s Republic of China — to counterbalance American and European soft power in Kosovo and does not support Moscow’s views regarding Abkhazia and South-Ossetia.
Geopolitics versus International Law
The Montevideo Convention on the Rights and Duties of States, signed in 1933, states: “the state as a person of international law ...
... Regional Cooperation Council (created 10 years ago on the basis of the Stability Pact for Southeastern Europe; Russia, the US, and China took part in the deliberations of the Council, with the EU playing the main role).
2. Another scenario is the “Permanent ... ... considered to be the most rational one for the Balkan states themselves.
Ekaterina Entina, Dejan Novakovic:
Negotiations on Kosovo 2019 — Opportunities and Limitations for Russia
Long-term Scenario of a “Package” Settlement
The “spontaneous” ...
