... strong and practically invulnerable exactly until the very moment when their rapid and uncontrolled disintegration begins.
The shock of what is happening in Syria is comparable, if not greater, than the emotional effect of the Hamas attack on southern Israel on October 7 last year. The two phases of the regional crisis are closely linked; it would not be an exaggeration to say that December 2024 has become a direct, albeit postponed in time, continuation of October 2023. Without the successful Israeli ...
Will Russia continue its “business as usual” aimed at maintaining the existing status-quo or will it be forced to review and to revise its positions towards Israel, Palestinians, Iran and its main partners in the Arab world?
The spectacular comeback of Donald Trump to the White House will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the US overall international positioning, as well as on specific dimensions of ...
... history erupted. It was provoked by an oil embargo imposed by members of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), as well as Egypt and Syria. The embargo was targeted against the United States and its allies who were assisting Israel in the Doomsday War. The member-states of this Organization used economic tools to influence Israel's allies and support Egypt and Syria in the conflict with Israel. Such actions notably contrasted with the state of Iranian-Israeli relations, which ...
A vertical rather than horizontal escalation can be expected, involving other actors in the war
In the autumn of 2024, the situation in the Middle East sharply escalated. Sporadic exchanges between Hezbollah in Lebanon and Israel, which had been observed since the October 7, 2023, attacks, evolved into active hostilities. On September 17–18, 2024, pagers and other means of communication belonging to Hezbollah members were detonated inside Lebanon. Israel then launched ...
Nobody wanted to fight
When the Israeli–Palestinian conflict escalated dramatically in early October 2023, many observers jumped to a grim conclusion that, from then onward, the Middle East was hurtling at an ever-increasing speed toward another major regional conflict. The military ...
The repercussions of this assassination are likely to extend far beyond the immediate objective of crippling Hamas
The recent assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran represents a dramatic escalation in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, with far-reaching implications for the region and beyond. This assassination underscores an ongoing strategy to disrupt Hamas leadership and operational capabilities, reflecting a determination to dismantle a key pillar of ...
Interview with Vladimir Morozov, Vice-Rector of MGIMO University
The war in the Gaza Strip has already passed the nine-month mark. Since the events of October 7 last year, there has been an unprecedented uptick of violence in the Palestinian–Israeli conflict zone. No solution to the fundamental problems related to the Palestinian–Israeli issue has been found yet, while the risks of escalation in the Middle East amid tensions on the Lebanese–Israeli border have mounted over the past few ...
The debate over the post-war arrangements in Gaza is unlikely to put an end to the controversy about a possible U.S. presence “on the ground.”
Israel’s Operation Arnon to free a group of hostages from the Gaza Strip has brought back into focus just how deeply the U.S. military is involved in the eight-month-long escalation of the conflict. The bloody infiltration into the Nuseirat refugee ...
The U.S. and the UK will likely use the challenging military and political environment for a further escalation of the crisis
The U.S.-British coalition’s military intervention in Yemen has become the most dangerous expansion of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict (PIC), taking a heavy toll on the security in the Middle East and creating a parallel hotbed of military standoff in the Red Sea. There is no consensus in the region’s countries on the root cause of the current escalation, with some ...
... and economic trends in the Middle East require a degree of theoretical conceptualization. The authors of this report analyze the current political and economic trends in the region’s Arab countries and non-Arab states, including Iran, Turkey, and Israel. Additionally, the authors examine key foreign policy trends in Middle Eastern states.
Regional Trends in the Middle East: Political and Economic Dynamics
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