... status-quo or will it be forced to review and to revise its positions towards Israel, Palestinians, Iran and its main partners in the Arab world? Let us have a look at the most important pieces of the rich and diverse Middle East mosaic, namely—on Israel, Palestine, Iran and the Arab Gulf states.
Israel
The Russian-Israeli relations started experiencing problems long before the US 2024 elections. In particular, the launch of the special military operation in Ukraine on February 24, 2022 had a significant ...
Arab countries are not ready to significantly transform their policies and become actively involved in the conflict in the Middle East
Over fifty years ago, in October 1973, the largest energy crisis in history erupted. It was provoked by an oil embargo imposed by members of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries (OAPEC), as well as Egypt and Syria. The embargo was targeted against the United States and its allies who were assisting Israel in the Doomsday War. The member-states...
A vertical rather than horizontal escalation can be expected, involving other actors in the war
In the autumn of 2024, the situation in the Middle East sharply escalated. Sporadic exchanges between Hezbollah in Lebanon and Israel, which had been observed since the October 7, 2023, attacks, evolved into active hostilities. On September 17–18, 2024, pagers and other means of communication belonging to Hezbollah members were detonated inside Lebanon. Israel then launched operation “Northern Arrows”...
... on Israel and its allies following the Yom Kippur War in October 1973. Efforts to further promote the Abraham Accords between Israel and the conservative Arab monarchies continued, albeit fading from the public eye. The only consistent supporters of Palestine were the stubborn Yemeni Houthis, who have attacked foreign ships in the Red Sea. However, it was Egypt—not Israel—that suffered the most from these attacks, losing nearly half of its revenues from the Suez Canal.
Regional Trends in the ...
... successfully brokered the normalization of ties between Israel and four Arab countries, this will not last as long as the U.S. continues to ignore the elephant in the room and the plight of the Palestinians. Hostilities will resume periodically between Palestine and Israel, which means that permanent peace in the region remains impossible.
While the U.S. was initially supportive of Israel,
there is a growing rift between the Biden administration and Israel
. Afraid of losing his grip on power, Israeli ...
... Bocharov.
Vladimir Mikhailovich, not so long ago a delegation from MGIMO University visited Jerusalem and Ramallah, the administrative center of the Palestinian National Authority (PNA). Could you please tell us about the current situation in Israel and Palestine.
Aleksandr Aksenenok:
Palestinian Statehood after October 7: Any Odds of Success?
It is difficult to give an unbiased assessment of the situation in Israel and Palestine as a whole. In terms of security, while there are outbreaks of violence ...
The debate over the post-war arrangements in Gaza is unlikely to put an end to the controversy about a possible U.S. presence “on the ground.”
Israel’s Operation Arnon to free a group of hostages from the Gaza Strip has brought back into focus just how deeply the U.S. military is involved in the eight-month-long escalation of the conflict. The bloody infiltration into the Nuseirat refugee camp—where four Israelis who have now returned home were held—was partly organized due to direct intelligence...
... escalation, with some governments blaming the terrorist sortie of the Qassam Brigades militants from Hamas’ Al-Aqsa Flood (known as Toofan in Arabic) on October 7, 2023, while others—the abnormal situation of the decades-long occupation and blockade of Palestine by Israel,
mentioned
by UN Secretary General A. Guterres in October 2023. Yet they are all united in extremely negative
assessments
of the humanitarian consequences of the Iron Swords operation by the Israeli army in the Gaza Strip. The final ...
