The Fallout of the US-Iran Confrontation for Russia: Revisiting Factors in Moscow’s Calculus

... deconfliction mechanisms, and international actors’ difficulties in establishing rapid conflict prevention measures provides US-Iran tensions a potential to easily evolve into a military engagement. What would be the implications of such a scenario for Russia? Will the fallout of a US-Iran war in the Middle East push Russia to rush in with a more active mediation effort? Or will Russia prefer to erode US power projection through military assistance to Iran? This paper attempts to explore the cost-benefit ...