Escalation signaling is a tremendously difficult task that allows for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by both militaries. While Ukraine’s capabilities present a significant military-technical challenge for Russia, the fact that they are supplied by third parties, including the United States, has become a political issue aggravating...
Africa is big enough to accommodate everybody—its needs are incredibly huge and its prospects are truly breathtaking
Just over a year ago, at the US-Africa leaders' summit in Washington in December 2022, President Joe Biden made a public commitment to pay a visit to the Cradle of Humankind. However, he is unlikely to keep his promise, at least not before the US presidential elections in November. Still, Africa already had a lot of the US' attention: a long chain of top-level US officials showed...
The current economic dynamics are likely to continue in the foreseeable future since a solution to the fundamental problems of the Egyptian economy has not been found yet
On December 10–12, 2023, presidential elections were held in the Arab Republic of Egypt (ARE). As a result of a referendum held in 2019, certain amendments were added to the constitution, including the partial elimination of presidential term limits, thus allowing incumbent President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi to run again for the post...
World politics is fast degrading into a zero-sum game
“The crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear.” Antonio Gramsci’s famous quote from his Prison Notebooks, where he describes the turbulent era between the two world wars is quite suitable to portray the state of the international system during the recent few decades.
Stating that the world has entered a period of revolutionary transformation...
Under a rapid change of the situation in international affairs, the countries are in need of immediate solutions, rather than prospective scenarios of mutual assistance and law enforcement support
On September 17, 2023 the transition leaders of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger signed the Liptako-Gourma Charter, instituting the Alliance of Sahel States. This happened in the midst of economic sanctions imposed on them by the subregion’s Economic Community of Western Africa (ECOWAS) and its threats to...
On November 17–19, 2023 Bengaluru (India) hosted the IX Synergia Conclave “The Future of Advanced Technologies, Global Diplomacy and National Security”, collecting more then 150 participants from 23 countries of the world
On November 17–19, 2023 Bengaluru (India) hosted the IX Synergia Conclave “The Future of Advanced Technologies, Global Diplomacy and National Security”, collecting more then 150 participants from 23 countries of the world. The event was organized by Synergia Foundation—one of...
As the world's two super-nuclear powers, the relations of Russia and the U.S. are inseparable from nuclear risk
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia and the United States have been engaged in an almost open nuclear game, but in different forms and with different objectives. Both Russia and the United States are well aware of the presence of the nuclear weapons factor in this conflict. Russia's main objective is to deter the United States and NATO from directly intervening...
Russia and China as prominent spacefaring nations could contribute to the understanding of the space economy—space security nexus, utilizing existing levers to make space diplomats and space companies agree upon acting in a mutually beneficial, sustainable manner
When we talk about ‘space economy’, what comes up to our mind? The issue of its definition and measurement, ambiguousness that exists regarding the scope of downstream, upstream and even midstream segments of space economy. Deliberations...
... in line with Japanese and South Korean national interests may one day be decided by voters in these nations, despite the actual occupation of part of their territories by the U.S. military.
1
. Buzan B., Waever O. Regions and Powers: the structure of International Security. Cambridge University Press. 2003. 564 p.
2
. Waltz K. Theory of International Politics (1979). Waveland Press reissued. 2010. 251 p.
3
. Snyder J. Myths of Empire: Domestic Politics and International Ambition. Ithaca, New-York: ...
... players ready to respect each other and to fine-tune a delicate balance of interests, not a crude balance of power
The 10
th
Beijing Xiangshan Forum, which took place in Beijing from October 29 to 31, was in no way yet another routine expert event on international security matters. The forum summoned about 1,800 international security experts from all over the world, including many men and women with big stars on their shoulders. It involved both official delegations from more than 90 countries and ...