... for a second that the acute European crisis is already behind us. How significant are the areas of coinciding strategic interests of Russia and the United States, and how substantial is the potential for long-term cooperation between the two nations?
Arms Control
Andrey Kortunov:
Trump: What Can We Expect?
Conventional wisdom suggests that neither Moscow nor Washington should be interested in an uncontrolled arms race. Such a race would be very expensive and very dangerous fir both sides, no matter ...
... of the forecasts suggest that the US and its allies will continue to enhance their positions in providing weapons to the rest of the world.
Given all these trends, it comes as no surprise to hear that the US leadership has often been skeptical about arms control. In 2002, under president George W. Bush, the US withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty that for 30 years served as a foundation for strategic stability between Moscow and Washington. In 2019, the Donald Trump administration ...
... the unilateral US withdrawal of the INF (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces) Treaty. Paradoxically, the future of nuclear non-proliferation in Asia appeared
concerning
even almost a quarter of century ago during the
so-called
“golden age of nuclear arms control”.
Alexander Yermakov:
Don’t Trust and Don’t Verify. New Normality for New START
As for the spatial dimension, geographical conditions represent a constant in the field of international relations. In terms of the Asian-Pacific space,...
Restoring the arms control foundation will make it possible to expand the dialogue to other types of weapons and military technologies, gradually involve third nuclear powers in the process, and strengthen nonproliferation regimes for weapons of mass destruction. Regardless ...
... of the Nuclear Five?
The steps taken by the parties following Russia’s suspension of the New START, signed in Prague in 2010, as well as statements made by key officials, make it possible to offer a cautious forecast of the medium-term future of arms control between the two leading nuclear superpowers.
February freeze
Prokhor Tebin:
Predicting a Tripolar Nuclear World: Where Does the United States Fit In?
In late February, the consistent degradation of relations between Moscow and Washington ...
... two global powers: the parameters of the world order, U.S. sanctions policy, competition between Asian-Pacific integration models, the economic, trade and technological rivalry between the two nations, as well as matters concerning global security and arms control. This analysis also considers U.S.– Chinese confrontation in terms of its potential negative and positive implications for Russia.
U.S. Foreign Policy Towards China: Outlook and Implications for Russia
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Policy Brief #44 / 2022
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
In October 2022, Joseph Biden’s administration published the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR-2022) as part of a single National Defense Strategy (NDS-2022) package along with the Missile Defense Review (MDR-2022). The previous Nuclear Posture Review appeared in February 2018 during Donald Trump’s presidency.
One of the key functions of any publicly available strategic document is to deliver information to other states – both friendly and hostile...
... potential of nuclear deterrence [
1
], which meant
that additional
steps
needed to be taken to bypass an adversary’s missile defence systems. All this made sure that missile defence has inevitably made a comeback as one of the most pressing issues in arms control.
Igor Ivanov:
Quo Vadis ?
However, Russia’s official rhetoric accompanying the demolition of the ABM Treaty was surprisingly restrained. In his December 2001 statement on the U.S. withdrawal from the Treaty, the Republican President George ...
Washington’s abandonment of ammunition and armory in Afghanistan is in direct violation of the existing UN sanctions regime
The hasty withdrawal of the U.S. forces from Afghanistan attests to both the indifference of the U.S. administration as regards the future of Afghanistan as a state and the neglect for its obligations to its allies. Besides, Washington has clearly violated the current UN Security Council sanctions regime against the Taliban, which was established in accordance with
Resolution...
Comments by Andrey Baklitskiy, Victor Esin, Olga Oliker, Alexander Saveliev and Dmitry Stefanovich
To mark the anniversary of START I signed in Moscow on July 31, 1991, the Russian International Affairs Council asked strategic arms control experts several questions about the importance of START I and the prospects for new treaties to be signed.
Why was START I a breakthrough? What explains the success in negotiating and signing the treaty?
Could any elements from START I be ...
