... within BRICS.
Since the beginning of the special military operation, discussions on Russian–Indonesian relations have largely centered around three main topics. The first concerns the overall prospects for developing diplomatic dialogue, given the sanctions pressure on Russia and Indonesia’s peace plan for resolving the Ukraine crisis. The second is about the future of military-technical cooperation after Prabowo Subianto, Indonesia’s former Defense Minister, took office as president, especially in relation to the ...
We will see a trend of increasing pressure from the US on India and Indian companies to increase barriers and costs for trade with Russia
One of the goals of large-scale sanctions against Russia after the start of the special military operation (SMO) was the isolation of the Russian economy in terms of trade and financing. The task was partly accomplished: the sanctions significantly undermined domestic trade with Western countries. The ...
... Institute, removing Crimea-related sanctions could increase trade with Russia and consequently Germany's GDP by 0.16 percent, equivalent to approximately 6.7 billion euros in 2023, or 160 euros per average German household. Lifting the broader anti-Russian sanctions imposed since February 2022 on Berlin’s trade and investment relations with Moscow would raise GDP by an additional 0.3 percent to 0.7 percent, as research above has shown, which translates to between 12.6 billion euros and 29.3 billion euros ...
... then, Washington has consistently increased the practice of administrative and criminal prosecution for circumventing the restrictions in force against Russia. The beginning of the military operation in Ukraine and the accompanying expansion of anti-Russian sanctions naturally contributed to the growth in the number of such cases. At the same time, the openness and publicity of the investigations provide an extensive empirical basis for analysing US law enforcement, tracking its dynamics and changes.
In ...
... limiting the Russian-Arab cooperation to the extent possible. It will work hard to close any loopholes in US sanctions that creates opportunities for Moscow to use Gulf States, particularly—UAE, as international financial hubs to circumvent Western sanctions. It will try to erect various obstacles on the way to more active Russian-Arab military cooperation by offering attractive alternatives to its partners in the Arab world (for instance, dealing with UAE, Trump is likely to get back to previously stalled deals for the sale of F-35 fighter jets and armed drones). It will ...
... sanctions. Moreover, the sanctions mechanism itself in relations with the DPRK lost its value, since the most severe of them had already been applied.
Ivan Timofeev:
Secondary Sanctions Against Russia's Partners Abroad: From Definition to Facts
As for Russia, sanctions against it reappeared in 2012 for the first time since the Cold War. After the start of the Ukraine crisis in 2014, their escalation began and a coalition of countries initiating sanctions began to take shape. Since 2022, a coalition of 50 countries ...
... transactions with friendly countries remains on the agenda for Russia and its partners.
First published in the
Valdai Discussion Club
.
1
. This interpretation of secondary sanctions is given in the following works: Timofeev I.N. (2024) US Secondary Sanctions on Russia: An Empirical Analysis. Comparative Politics, Vol. 15, No. 1: 95-114. Geranmayeh, E. and Rapnoul, M. (2019) Meeting the Challenge of Secondary Sanctions. European Council on Foreign Relations Report, June. Meyer, J. (2014) Second Thoughts on Secondary ...
... 022 sanctions, which turned the country into the global ‘sanctions leader’ well above Iran (4 191), Syria (2 643), DPRK (2 133), Belarus (1 155) and Venezuela (651). This practice continued in 2023 and in 2024; today, the overall number of anti-Russia sanctions introduced in the West is approaching twenty thousand. There are no reasons to expect most of these sanctions to be lifted or significantly softened even if there is a cease-fire with Ukraine.
Three types of sanctions are particularly important ...
... sanctions achieved their goals only partially or not at all. The Iran nuclear deal fell apart as a result of the unilateral actions of the Trump administration, and the DPRK ultimately implemented both missile and nuclear programmes.
Ivan Timofeev:
New Sanctions Against Russia: Taking a Swing at the Ruble
After the start of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine and the subsequent “tsunami of sanctions” launched against Russia by the collective West, the issue of a coalition was again on the agenda. A big ...
... interests in the NSR?
Obviously, the NSR is critical for Russia as it considers it a historical national transport route, like how Canada perceives the Northwest Passage. Geopolitical developments in the past two years have accentuated its importance for Russia due to sanctions. It serves as a major transport route in developing trade with East Asia, especially China. China-Russia trade turnover has reached USD 240 billion—poised to only grow higher—and the NSR is one of the routes that facilitates this trade. ...